
Real data · Real odds
Real admissions data. Honest answers. Every number traced to a public source — no made-up percentages, no guarantees.
IPEDS · College Scorecard · Common Data Set · UCAS — no made-up numbers
Real data on every school
The same numbers admissions offices publish — read back in plain language, with a source on every figure. Nothing invented.
Popular schools
01 — Sources
No proprietary “methodology,” no black box. The same public datasets admissions offices publish — read back to you, in plain language, with the receipts.
| Source | What we use it for | Coverage |
|---|---|---|
| IPEDS | Federal enrollment, admit & graduation data | US institutions |
| College Scorecard | Cost, earnings & completion outcomes | US institutions |
| Common Data Set | Admit rates, test ranges, GPA profile | Per school, self-reported |
| UCAS | Entry requirements & offer rates | UK universities |
Public datasets, refreshed each admissions cycle. A source link sits on every school page.
02 — Method
03 — Why it's different
Reach / target / safety — real numbers, plainly labelled.
Federal data, Common Data Set, and published outcomes.
Remembers your profile. Answers the follow-up questions.
04 — What you can do
One profile flows across all of them — no re-typing your stats.
Reach / target / safety odds from real admit rates and test ranges.
Deadlines, fees, tests and essays for every school on your list.
Draft, save across devices, and get line-level counselor feedback.
Law, MBA, medicine, master's and PhD — band-based, honest.
Typical UCAS offers and whether your predicted grades clear them.
Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore and EU English-taught.
05 — FAQ
Every figure is drawn from a public dataset — IPEDS, the College Scorecard, the Common Data Set and UCAS — and shown with its source. We give honest reach / target / safety bands instead of a made-up single percentage, so you can trust and verify what you see.
US enrollment and outcome data from the federal IPEDS and College Scorecard; per-school admit rates, test ranges and GPA profiles from each school's Common Data Set; and UK entry requirements and offer rates from UCAS. Public sources only, refreshed each admissions cycle.
It estimates whether a school is a reach, target or safety for your profile, based on the school's real published admit rate and test ranges — not a fabricated probability. It's a grounded band, meant as a starting point, not a guarantee.
Yes. You can use Chance Me and the AI counselor with no account and completely anonymously — your stats and chats stay in your own browser.
Yes. There's a UK UCAS offer checker and an international requirements lookup covering Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore and EU English-taught programs, plus graduate (law, MBA, medicine, master's) guidance.
The whole site works in English and 简体中文, and the counselor understands international curricula and applicant context — so families applying from abroad get advice tuned to their system, not just US-domestic defaults.